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Opinion

Will the end of the world be man-made or by forces of nature?

FROM A DISTANCE - Carmen N. Pedrosa - The Philippine Star

It was my grandson who said after dinner that World War III is upon us. A nuclear war could be the end, an ever recurring thought in the world we live today. But he was serious and pointed out to me news on the murder of a prominent Iranian general.

We read about the many articles with the world in turmoil and destruction but as long as these do not affect us directly we could not care less.

But the assassination of Iran’s most prominent and proficient general is something else.

The killing could provoke a significant response from the Islamic Republic toward US interests and interrupt oil supplies.

A US airstrike near Baghdad airport killed Gen. Qassem Soleimani, which could unleash military chaos, experts say.

“This is potentially the most destabilizing event in the region since we invaded Iraq,” states a recent research report from New York-based Academy Securities. “This is a game changer.”

The US-led war in Iraq kicked off in early 2003 and quickly led to the ouster of Saddam Hussein and then indirectly to a whole lot of mayhem, including the rise of the Islamic State terror group.

Just like the invasion of Iraq brought forth unintended outcomes what happens next will likely do the same.

It had a predictable impact on financial markets. The dollar has rallied, gold and oil price also has. And stocks are quickly getting marked down.

Financial markets are now awaiting Iran’s response.”

Futures contracts for Brent Crude oil were recently fetching $68.75 a barrel, up 3.8% from the close. Gold futures were changing hands for $1,549 a troy ounce, up 1.4%, according to Bloomberg data.

What happens next is anyone’s guess.

In the meantime, nervous investors will wait for signs of a response from Tehran.

“Financial markets are now awaiting Iran’s response, which will likely have a wide-reaching impact on all asset classes,” states a recent report from UK-based broker OANDA.

That is the news on a man-made event to end the world. At the same time disasters of nature are happening that are out of our control.

Pictures of the sheer scale of the Australian bushfire crisis is hard to comprehend.

In the five months since the bushfire season began in August, millions of hectares and thousands of homes have burned.

New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory have seen a combined 3.6 million hectares of land lost to the fire.

Nationally, more than 6.3 million hectares of land have been affected by the fires.

That would be almost half of the entirety of the country of England. The 2019 Amazon rainforest wildfires season saw a year-to-year surge in fires occurring in the Amazon rainforest and Amazon biome within Brazil, Bolivia, Paraguay, and Peru during that year’s Amazonian tropical dry season. Fires normally occur around the dry season as slash-and-burn methods are used to clear the forest to make way for agriculture, livestock, logging, and mining, leading to deforestation of the Amazon rainforest. Such activity is generally illegal within these nations, but enforcement of environmental protection can be lax. The increased rates of fire counts in 2019 led to international concern about the fate of the Amazon rainforest, which is the world’s largest terrestrial carbon dioxide sink and plays a significant role in mitigating global warming.

The increasing rates were first reported by Brazil’s National Institute for Space Research (Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, INPE) in June and July 2019 through satellite monitoring systems, but international attention was drawn to the situation by August 2019 when NASA corroborated INPE’s findings,and smoke from the fires, visible from satellite imagery, darkened the city of São Paulo despite being thousands of kilometers from the Amazon.

“As of Aug. 29, 2019, INPE reported more than 80,000 fires across all of Brazil, a 77% year-to-year increase for the same tracking period, with more than 40,000 in the Brazil’s Legal Amazon (Amazônia Legal or BLA), which contains 60% of the Amazon. Similar year-to-year increases in fires were subsequently reported in Bolivia, Paraguay and Peru, with the 2019 fire counts within each nation of over 19,000, 11,000 and 6,700, respectively, as of Aug. 29, 2019.  It is estimated that over 906,000 hectares (2.24x106 acres; 9,060 km2; 3,500 sq mi) of forest within the Amazon biome has been lost to fires in 2019. In addition to the impact on global climate, the fires created environmental concerns from the excess carbon dioxide and carbon monoxide within the fires’ emissions, potential impacts on the biodiversity of the Amazon, and threats to indigenous tribes that live within the forest.

The increased rate of fires in Brazil has raised the most concerns as international leaders, particularly French president Emmanuel Macron, and environmental non-government organizations (ENGOs) attributed these to Brazilian president Jair Bolsonaro’s pro-business policies that had weakened environmental protections and have encouraged deforestation of the Amazon after he took office in January 2019. Bolsonaro initially remained ambivalent and rejected international calls to take action, asserting that the criticism was sensationalist. Following increased pressure from the international community at the 45th G7 summit and a threat to reject the pending European Union-Mercosur free trade agreement, Bolsonaro dispatched over 44,000 Brazilian troops and allocated funds to fight the fires, and later signed a decree to prevent such fires for a 60-day period.

Other Amazonian countries have been affected by the wildfires in higher or lesser degree. The number of hectares of Bolivian rainforest affected by the wildfires were roughly equal to those of Brazil, being the area of Bolivia only about one-eighth of Brazil’s. Bolivian president Evo Morales was similarly blamed for past policies that encouraged deforestation. Morales has also taken proactive measures to fight the fires and seek aid from other countries. At the G7 summit, Macron negotiated with the other nations to allocate $22 million for emergency aid to the Amazonian countries affected by the fires.”

Will our world end because of man-made forces or by natural disasters?

WORLD WAR III

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