MANILA, Philippines (Update 1: 12:06 p.m.) — A low pressure area over the Philippine Sea has developed into Tropical Depression Goring, the country’s seventh cyclone of the year, state weather bureau PAGASA said Thursday.
Goring was last seen 355 kilometers east northeast of Calayan in Cagayan or 300 km east of Basco in Batanes, with peak winds of 55 kph near the center and gusts of up to 70 kph.
Goring may become a tropical storm Thursday evening or early Friday, and may reach typhoon category by Sunday.
“While current intensity forecast indicate the progression towards typhoon category, the inherent volatility of attaining super typhoon category remains a possibility,” PAGASA said.
The cyclone was moving north northwest at 15 kph.
What to expect
According to PAGASA, Goring is “less likely” to bring heavy rainfall over the country in the next three days. But it noted that any westward shift in the track may result in heavy rainfall over portions of Cagayan Valley in the next three days.
Starting Sunday or Monday, Goring may enhance the southwest monsoon, which may trigger occasional rain over the western portions of central and southern Luzon.
The state weather agency may start raising wind signals in parts of northern Luzon Thursday evening or Friday.
The possible enhancement of the southwest monsoon may also result in gusty conditions beginning Sunday or Monday over most of southern Luzon and Visayas, as well as portions of Caraga.
PAGASA advised those with motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels to avoid navigating the coastal waters of extreme northern Luzon and northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan due to moderate to rough seas.
Forecast positions
- August 24, 2023 8:00 PM - 275 km east of Basco, Batanes
- August 24 25, 2023 8:00 AM - 255 km east southeast of Basco, Batanes
- August 24 25, 2023 8:00 PM - 330 km east of Calayan, Cagayan
- August 24 26, 2023 8:00 AM - 315 km east of Aparri, Cagayan
- August 24 26, 2023 8:00 PM - 285 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
- August 24 27, 2023 8:00 AM - 320 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
- August 24 28, 2023 8:00 AM - 535 km east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan
- August 24 29, 2023 8:00 AM - 505 km east of Basco, Batanes
— Gaea Katreena Cabico