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LPA off eastern Visayas now Tropical Depression Paeng — PAGASA

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MANILA, Philippines (Updated 12:47 p.m.) — The low pressure area brewing east of eastern Visayas developed into Tropical Depression Paeng as of 8 a.m. Wednesday morning, state weather bureau PAGASA announced. 

In its 11:00 a.m. bulletin, state meteorologists said Paeng was last located at 965 km East of Eastern Visayas. It is moving West Northwestward slowly, packing sustained winds of 45 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 55 kph.

PAGASA said Paeng is forecast to track generally westward until Thursday, then turn west northwestward for the remainder of October 27 until the morning of October 29.

The tropical depression, which is expected to intensify to typhoon category this weekend, will move northwestward on Saturday afternoon or evening and may pass close to Northern Luzon on Sunday or Monday.

“A landfall scenario in Northern Luzon is not ruled out,” PAGASA said.

State meteorologists also said that due to shear line and the trough of Paeng, heavy rains may be expected over Quezon, Bicol region, Visayas and northern and western portions of Mindanao.

They added that based on the latest forecast, PAGASA may hoist Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal in some areas in Eastern Visayas and Bicol region as early as Thursday morning.

The Northeast monsoon meanwhile is expected to bring strong to gale-force winds over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, and the northern portions of mainland Cagayan, Apayao, and Ilocos Norte in the next 24 hours.

“Per latest track and intensity forecast, the most likely highest wind signal that will be hoisted is Wind Signal No. 4,” it added.

Rainy weekend

PAGASA warned that heavy to intense with at times torrential rains are possible over Bicol region from Friday morning through Saturday morning. Meanwhile, residents of Eastern Visayas, Mindoro Provinces, Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, Aurora, Isabela and Cagayan may expect moderate to heavy with at times intense rains.

“Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Rizal, Laguna, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of Visayas and Cagayan Valley,” PAGASA added.

Paeng is also forecast to bring heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over  Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao and the northern portion of Aurora from Saturday morning through Sunday.

“Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Ilocos Norte, and the rest of Aurora, Cagayan Valley, and Cordillera Administrative Region. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains possible over Western Visayas and the rest of Luzon,” PAGASA added.

It further warned that under these conditions, “flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible, especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall.”

Forecast position

  • October 26, 08:00 PM - 900 km East of Eastern Visayas
  • October 27, 08:00 AM - 780 km East of Catarman, Northern Samar
  • October 27, 08:00 PM - 715 km East of Juban, Sorsogon
  • October 28, 08:00 AM - 510 km East of Virac, Catanduanes
  • October 28, 08:00 PM - 345 km East of Virac, Catanduanes
  • October 29, 08:00 AM - 455 km East of Infanta, Quezon
  • October 30, 08:00 AM - 200 km East of Casiguran, Aurora
  • October 31, 08:00 AM - Over the coastal waters of Baggao, Cagayan

— Kristine Joy Patag

PAGASA WEATHER UPDATE

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