PARIS (AP) — Unemployment is rising around the world as the recession leaves few corners untouched — but sharp differences remain between companies directly hit by financial or housing-market collapses and those that have deliberately protected jobs with expensive measures — including subsidizing shorter working weeks.
Unemployment rates in the 30 wealthy countries that belong to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development range from a low of 3.2 percent in the Netherlands to 17.6 percent in Spain, according to July figures.
In the developing world, the downturn has also taken its toll. Unemployment in Brazil appears now to be easing a bit, but Mexico in August posted its highest jobless rate in 13 years. In Africa, the continent’s largest economy, South Africa, is in the grips of its first recession in 17 years and about a quarter of the population is officially without work.
The US unemployment rate was 9.4 percent in July, above the European Union rate of 8.8 percent. By August, the U.S unemployment rate had ticked up to 9.7 percent, a 26-year high. On Friday, the Labor Department is due to release data for September and economists are forecasting the rate edged up to 9.8 percent. Most economists see US unemployment topping 10 percent by early next year.
The speed of the increase in unemployment rates also varies, with countries like France starting with relatively high unemployment and shifting only slightly upward, and Britain and Ireland starting low but rising fast.
“There are quite significant differences across countries and regions,” said John Martin, head of the OECD’s employment, labor and social affairs division. “Quite a number of the countries which so far have not seen major increases in unemployment were countries that either have expanded short-time working schemes or introduced them in the first places.”
But he noted such programs — where workers agree to fewer hours and the government helps make up the difference in their pay — may not be affordable for much longer.
The OECD expects the jobless rate in its 30 members to approach 10 percent in the second half of next year, meaning 57 million people out of work. If forecasts are correct, about half of those would have joined the jobless lines in the three years from the start of the downturn to the end of 2010.
Stefano Scarpetta, head of employment analysis at the OECD, said that the US is historically quicker at reducing unemployment after a shock than Europe. But still, he said it could take three years or longer for the US to return to pre-crisis levels.